Unlevered Free Cash Flow Calculation
Calendar
Year Ending December 31,
CAGR
2007A
2008P
2009P
2010E
2011E
2012E
2008-2012
EBIT
$120.0
$126.2
$133.2
$137.7
$142.4
$147.3
3.9%
Plus:
Non-deductible Goodwill Amort.
–
–
–
–
–
–
EBITA
$120.0
$126.2
$133.2
$137.7
$142.4
$147.3
3.9%
Less:
Provision for Taxes
(42.0)
(44.2)
(46.6)
(48.2)
(49.9)
(51.6)
Unlevered Net Income
$78.0
$82.0
$86.6
$89.5
$92.6
$95.8
3.9%
Plus:
D&A (excl. non-deductible GW amort.)
15.3
15.9
16.7
16.0
15.6
15.4
Less:
Capital Expenditures
(18.0)
(16.0)
(14.1)
(14.6)
(15.1)
(15.6)
Less:
Increase in Net Working Capital
(9.5)
8.3
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
$65.8
$90.2
$92.3
$94.2
$96.4
$99.0
2.3%
Tax Rate
35.0%
DCF Analysis (2008-2012):
EBITDA Multiple Method
Net Debt
$83.4
Shares
35.021
Total Enterprise Value
Total Equity Value
Terminal
EBITDA Multiple
Terminal
EBITDA Multiple
7.5x
8.0x
8.5x
7.5x
8.0x
8.5x
Discount
10.0%
$1,042.4
$1,088.1
$1,133.9
Discount
10.0%
$959.0
$1,004.7
$1,050.5
Rate
11.0%
1,003.0
1,046.7
1,090.4
Rate
11.0%
919.6
963.3
1,007.0
(WACC)
12.0%
965.5
1,007.3
1,049.1
(WACC)
12.0%
882.1
923.9
965.7
Implied Perpetuity Growth
Rate
Total Price Per Share
Terminal
EBITDA Multiple
Terminal
EBITDA Multiple
7.5x
8.0x
8.5x
7.5x
8.0x
8.5x
Discount
10.0%
1.0%
1.5%
1.9%
Discount
10.0%
$27.38
$28.69
$30.00
Rate
11.0%
1.9%
2.4%
2.9%
Rate
11.0%
26.26
27.51
28.75
(WACC)
12.0%
2.8%
3.3%
3.8%
(WACC)
12.0%
25.19
26.38
27.58
DCF Analysis (2008-2012):
Perpetuity Growth Method
Total Enterprise Value
Total Equity Value
Terminal
Perpetuity Growth Rate
Terminal
Perpetuity Growth Rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
Discount
10.0%
$1,260.8
$1,335.1
$1,421.7
Discount
10.0%
$1,177.4
$1,251.7
$1,338.3
Rate
11.0%
1,103.6
1,158.0
1,220.1
Rate
11.0%
1,020.2
1,074.6
1,136.7
(WACC)
12.0%
981.4
1,022.5
1,068.8
(WACC)
12.0%
898.0
939.1
985.4
Implied Terminal EBITDA
Multiple
Total Price Per Share
Terminal
Perpetuity Growth Rate
Terminal
Perpetuity Growth Rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
Discount
10.0%
9.9x
10.7x
11.6x
Discount
10.0%
$33.62
$35.74
$38.22
Rate
11.0%
8.7x
9.3x
10.0x
Rate
11.0%
29.13
30.68
32.46
(WACC)
12.0%
7.7x
8.2x
8.7x
(WACC)
12.0%
25.64
26.82
28.14
(1) Assumes net debt of $83.4mm as of 5/16/08.
(2) Assumes outstanding diluted shares of
35.021 million.
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